WATCHBBL.BK
77% confBangkok Bank Public Company Limited฿193.00
Bangkok Bank Public Company Limited (BBL.BK) — MoS 50% + P/E 8.8×.
- TARGET
- ฿387.84+101.0%
- STOP
- ฿186.86-3.2%
- R:R
- 31.7 : 1
WHAT TO TRADE NOW20WATCH4AVOID70% avg conf
2026-09-25 · PICKS CACHETHE FULL SCREEN →
WATCHBJC.BK
77% confBerli Jucker Public Company Limited฿17.90
Berli Jucker Public Company Limited (BJC.BK) — MoS 42% + EMA 9 > 21.
- TARGET
- ฿31.00+73.2%
- STOP
- ฿16.94-5.4%
- R:R
- 13.6 : 1
WATCHKBANK.BK
77% confKasikornbank Public Company Limited฿253.00
Kasikornbank Public Company Limited (KBANK.BK) — MoS 27% + P/E 11.7×.
- TARGET
- ฿344.83+36.3%
- STOP
- ฿242.35-4.2%
- R:R
- 8.6 : 1
IF YOU HOLD — WHAT THE DATA SAYS TO CUT4 candidates
AVOIDDELTA.BK
63% confDelta Electronics (Thailand) Public Company Limited฿262.00
Delta Electronics (Thailand) Public Company Limited (DELTA.BK) — overvalued (MoS -1126%) + MACD+.
- TRIM ↑
- —
- —
- —
- R:R
- —
AVOIDAOT.BK
63% confAirports of Thailand Public Company Limited฿62.25
Airports of Thailand Public Company Limited (AOT.BK) — overvalued (MoS -274%) + MACD+.
- TRIM ↑
- —
- —
- —
- R:R
- —
AVOIDCPALL.BK
69% confCP ALL Public Company Limited฿44.25
CP ALL Public Company Limited (CPALL.BK) — overvalued (MoS -32%).
- TRIM ↑
- —
- —
- —
- R:R
- —
GLOBAL SCANNER9BEAR4 regions
2026-09-25
🇬🇧FTSE↓
FTSE 10010,715.34
- 1D-0.2%20D-1.9%RSI46CONF88%
🇩🇪GDAXI↓
DAX25,467.02
- 1D-0.6%20D-3.9%RSI40CONF100%
🇭🇰HSI↓
Hang Seng24,510.09
- 1D-0.3%20D-3.5%RSI42CONF100%
🇯🇵N225↓
Nikkei 22566,364.2
- 1D+0.8%20D+0.0%RSI52CONF64%
🥇GC↓
Gold4,298
- 1D-0.5%20D-7.6%RSI40CONF100%
🥈SI↓
Silver63.46
- 1D-1.4%20D-6.7%RSI44CONF100%
🇺🇸GSPC↓
S&P 5007,704.13
- 1D+0.0%20D+0.3%RSI54CONF48%
🇺🇸IXIC↓
Nasdaq26,939.37
- 1D+0.0%20D+3.0%RSI60CONF28%
🇰🇷KS11↓
KOSPI7,080.92
- 1D+1.0%20D+5.0%RSI57CONF27%
WHAT TO WATCH1NOW3TODAY
- BREAKOUTPTT.BKPTT Public Company Limited20d high break + 2.3× vol
PTT Public Company Limited closed 1.2% above its 20-day high on 2.3× normal volume. Trend-followers typically enter on the second day; if today's volume fades, the breakout is suspect.
- BREAKDOWNTIDLOR.BKTidlor Holdings Public Company Limited20d low break + 2.0× vol
Tidlor Holdings Public Company Limited closed -2.3% below its 20-day low on 2.0× volume. Breakdown traders short; mean-reversion watchers wait for a stop-hunt above today's high.
- EMA UPSCB.BKSCB X Public Company LimitedEMA 9 crossed above 21
SCB X Public Company Limited's 9-day EMA crossed above the 21-day in the last 5 sessions — a classic trend-confirmation signal. The first pullback to the 9-EMA is often the entry.
- EMA DOWNPTTEP.BKPTT Exploration and Production Public Company LimitedEMA 9 crossed below 21
PTT Exploration and Production Public Company Limited's 9-day EMA crossed below the 21-day. The trend has turned; a bounce to the 9-EMA is typically the exit for longs or the short entry.
MARKET EVIDENCE · WHYCOLLAPSE
SET
1,608+0.32%LIVE TAPE
S&P 500
7,704+0.87%
NASDAQ
26,939+1.97%
HANG SENG
24,510-0.97%
NIKKEI
66,364+3.82%
DAX
25,467+0.64%
FTSE 100
10,715+0.53%
USD/THB
33.29-0.21%
VIX
15.2+2.02%
FEAR&GREED
50neutralas of 2026-09-25 11:27 UTC · live via Yahoo/BOT · cached cells marked
WORLD BOARDS · 90 SESSIONS · NORMALIZEDfrom price cache · comparison, not causality
Each line starts at 0 on day 1 of the window. Toggle boards on/off. Sources: yfinance → prices.json (as-of labeled per series). · SET live quote · history cached · S&P 500 live quote · history cached · Nasdaq live quote · history cached · Hang Seng live quote · history cached · Nikkei live quote · history cached
GLOBAL FORCESNo significant global leads detected today.
REGIMESET is Range-bound calm — mixed signals. Smaller trades, take profits near edges.
MOODMr. Market is euphoric — prices stretched. Buffett sells here. (score -8.0).
CONSENSUSMost signals point down — the desk leans bearish. (2 signals, 44% agree).
FEAR & GREEDNeutral · no strong signal
AI CAPEX · HINGE NAMES · LOADING
MARKET CONSENSUSBEAR ↓44% confidence
THE FULL READ →Regime Range-bound calm · MrMarket manic · -8.0
RegimeRange-bound calmMrMarketmanic · -8.0
⚠ Regime reads flat against the BEAR consensus — surface both, decide for yourself.
NEWS TAPE · HEADLINES → FORCES… · signal web →
- No headlines in this batch right now.
Batches are keyword guesses that point at force-web nodes. Headlines correlate with moves; they do not prove causation.
DAYTRADERS SIGNAL DESKNO MIDDLEMAN · SYSTEMATIC DISCOUNTS
One number. One discount. One argument.
Graham: never pay full price for a business you do not understand. The diagram is the proof — not the pitch.
SYSTEM REGIME STANCEDAILY OPERATOR GUIDANCE
MANIC · prices look generous. Do not chase. Prefer sellers.
VIX 16 · not panic. Buy-the-dip signals lost to holding across 26y SET.
ANOMALY DETECTORPRICE CACHE · 2026-09-24
PTTSIGNAL FOCUS
THE NUMBER TO WATCH (VOL-DEV)
3.2σ
PTT moved 3.2σ from its own normal (volume spike) — about 1 day in 780 under a normal curve — with 3 independent anomaly families converging on the same name.
Watch whether volume confirms the move today; if volume fades, the move was noise.
PTTEP · PAY ↔ GRAHAM №CACHE · MOS +37%
฿100 note for ฿70 = the gap you need. Amber marks what you’d pay now.
MARGIN OF SAFETYP/E 8.5 · DEF 6/7
15%30%
PTTEP · PILLARS72/100
74
60
87
VALUE
P/E · MOS
QUALITY
BUFFETT · F · Z
ENTRY
VS GRAHAM №
KILLS ITINVALIDATION
- EPS ≤ 017.43
- MOS ≤ 0%฿148.50 / ฿236.21
- DEF < 4/76/7 · D/E 0.26×
· +37% · not advice
LIVE FIELD · TAPE + FORCE FIELD
SET ↔ NASDAQ
Confirm or kill the discount. Comparison, not causality.
LEADS
MY LENS
SET◌LIVE · time unknown
1,607.63+0.32%NASDAQ◌LIVE · time unknown
26,939+1.97%SET P/ECACHED · DAILY
22.4×EXPENSIVEFEAR & GREED✕DEMO DATA · NOT TRADEABLE
50NEUTRALRELATIVE TAPE · 90 SESSIONSSET LEADS 8.1pp
SET +10.78%NASDAQ +2.72%
Normalized closes · comparison, not causality.
THE MAGIC NUMBERS · BOTH TAPESFROM THE PRICE SERIES
METRICSETNASDAQ
RSI · 14
ATR %
VOL · 20D ANN
MAX DRAWDOWN
SHARPE
52W RANGE POS
TODAY · Z-SCORE
Real numbers, both tapes · null shows as — · comparison, not a signal.
CROSS-MARKET · MOVE MONEY?SET × NASDAQ
0.15loosely tied
0.11
-3.8pp
ρ · ROLLING 30D
Holding together — recent ρ 0.24 vs prior 0.37
When these two decouple, money can cross the ocean for a reason.
Correlation and beta over the shared window · not a signal to trade.
SET tape +0.32% today · model view unavailable · keep valuation discipline
OPEN EVIDENCE →GRAHAM STABILITY RANGEFULL SCREEN →
PTTEPPTT Exploration and Production Public Company Limited8.5×+37%6/7≈4/9≈0.072Fixed rules: MOS > 0 · defensive ≥4/7 · F-score ≥5/9. ≈ F-Score/Z are estimates from limited fundamentals.
BUMPS · OUT OF RANGELEDGER →
PTTPTT volume 3.22σ above its 20-day normal3.2σPTTModel expects PTT down 18.8% but the tape ran up 7.45% over 20 days0.3σPTTPTT closed at a 3-MONTH highP100KBANKModel expects Kasikorn Bank down 25.61% but the tape ran up 1.21% over 20 days0.3σ
An anomaly is a question, not a trade.
NEWS · BATCHED TO FORCESFULL TAPE →
News wire loading or offline — open NEWS TAPE above for full headlinesSYSTEM · —
STATIC FALLBACK · Headlines are context, not proof. Batches point at the signal web.
ADVANCED · MARKET FORCE FIELDFULL WEB →
◐CACHED · —◐CACHED · —◐CACHED · —
BIG = HEAVY · TAUT = TIGHT · SLACK = LOOSE — TAP TO OPEN THE FULL WEB
OWNER'S ORIENTATION · PROCESSOPEN THE LONG READ
START HERE · CAPITAL MUST SURVIVE
No app can save a bad bet. A process can keep one bet from ending the game.
Protect the money you need, read the market honestly, then investigate one company at a time — as an owner, not a gambler.
PROTECT
Keep emergency cash outside the bet.FINRA suggests a 3–6 month emergency-fund goal; start with what you can.
FIND MY GAP →DISCONFIRM
Name what would prove you wrong.Look for opposing evidence before a price target. Do not use leverage with money you cannot lose.
OPEN RESEARCH →REHEARSE
Price the loss in baht before the upside.Rehearse the order, stop, and position size with paper money before real money.
REHEARSE A DECISION →GRAHAM WOULD WATCHPTTEP
37% · P/E 8.5x · 6/7 defensive tests
DID YOU KNOW?CPAXT
quality 62/100 · attention 2%
HOW TO READ THIS
These are research prompts, not buy signals. Fundamentals are simulated until filings are ingested.
OPEN THE WATCH BOARD →SAME MARKET · THREE VERDICTS
PRICE VS VALUE · SET P/E22.4x vs 17.89x
CHEAP<15FAIREXPENSIVE>20.6
VALUE · GRAHAM
DON'T BUY
Price is above value. Mr. Market is euphoric — sell to him or wait.
TRADER · MOMENTUM
RANGE
No edge from sentiment — trade levels, size small.
INVESTOR · LONG-TERM
DCA
Time in market beats timing. Keep the monthly plan, tax funds first. No lump sums at these prices.
· YOUR LENS
The data is identical. The discipline is what differs.
LIVE INTELLIGENCE · OWNER'S DESK
See the market as an owner of businesses.
Day trading here means daily discipline with enterprises — not betting tickets. Graham first; timing second; survival always.
We believe in businesses — not bets.
Entrepreneurship compounds. Gambling transfers. Graham's margin of safety is how owners stay solvent long enough to win.
READ THE CREED →ADVANCED EVIDENCE1 WATCH · 7 ODD · 1 OVERLOOKED
THE WATCH · GRAHAM'S SHORTLIST
GOOD = margin of safety + steady decade + honest books — scores ≥60 pass.
9.2 AVG P/E
T1 PASS 2
CHEAPEST HONEST SECTOR
10.9 AVG P/E
T1 PASS 3
10.1 AVG P/E
T1 PASS 1
PTTEPSTRONGEST TODAYF-SCORE
+37%
8.5
COMPOSITE72
Margin of safety +37% — price sits below the Graham Number.
Passes 6 of 7 defensive tests.
Graham never asked you to predict. He asked you to demand evidence, then wait.
A shortlist by fixed rules · re-ranked as filings change · not a recommendation.
INDUSTRIES · SET50
INDUSTRIES · SET50· GICS classification · composite-weighted
CACHE · 2026-09-25 10:00
SECTORNCOMPMOSTICKERS
Hotels, Restaurants & Leisure38Household Durables33
THE ODDITIES LEDGER
VOLUME ODDITY × RANGE EXTREME × MODEL DISAGREEMENT — PTT
3 independent anomalies converged
2026-09-24PTTVOLUME ODDITY
PTT volume 3.22σ above its 20-day normal
2026-09-24PTTRANGE EXTREME
PTT closed at a 3-MONTH high
2026-09-24PTTMODEL DISAGREEMENT
Model expects PTT down 18.8% but the tape ran up 7.45% over 20 days
01
2026-09-24KBANKMODEL DISAGREEMENT
Model expects Kasikorn Bank down 25.61% but the tape ran up 1.21% over 20 days
02
2026-09-24SCBMODEL DISAGREEMENT
Model expects SCB down 14.46% but the tape ran up 2.63% over 20 days
MONEYBALL · QUALITY VS ATTENTION
THE UNDRAFTED · HIGH QUALITY · LOW ATTENTION
CPAXTSTRONGEST TODAY622%MAGIC
How to read it: right = the crowd is trading this name harder than its own normal right now; up = stronger fundamentals (composite 0–100). The green corner — good business, crowd elsewhere — is where Graham told you to shop. Tap any dot.
The bargains are where the crowd is not looking — Graham called them the unpopular large companies.
A quadrant is a place to start reading, not a reason to act.
SECOND LOOK · THE DECADE VS THE YEAR
THE YEAR FLATTERS
NONE IN CURRENT UNIVERSE
THE YEAR HIDES
NONE IN CURRENT UNIVERSE
One good year is a costume. Seven years is a face.
EPS HISTORY SIMULATED UNTIL FILINGS INGESTED · NOT ADVICE